EU Disputes IMF’s Greek Mea Culpa



european-commission-building-flags The European Commission, one of the Troika of Greece’s rescue lenders, took a big step back on June 6 from an International Monetary Fund (IMF) report that said the bailouts were flawed because austerity measures had a more devastating impact than expected.

The Commission, the operating arm of the European Union, which along with the IMF and European Central Bank teamed to provide $325 billion in two bailouts to save Greece, said that in some reports the report was “plainly wrong,” in an apparent attempt to distance itself from criticism.

“We fundamentally disagree” with the IMF’s view that Greece’s massive debt burden should have been restructured at the outset, instead of waiting until 2012, a Commission spokesman said.

At the same time, the IMF’s criticism of efforts to radically reform the Greek economy so as to put in on a path back to growth were “plainly wrong and unfounded,” spokesman Simon O’Connor said.

 


3 COMMENTS

  1. this is a tad outdated (nov 2011), but this is all you need to know about the Greek “bailout” which is more or less a Euro/Bank bailout

    Greece is about to get an installment of 8 billion Euro. I’m going to assume that is their quarterly installment.

    Greece is running a primary deficit of about 6 billion Euro (as best as I can figure out). So that is 1.5 billion per quarter. So about 19 cents of every Euro of bailout money makes it way to fund Greece’s current overspending.

    As best as we can tell, Greek banks hold about 75 billion of debt and other Greek entities hold about 25 billion, bringing the total to 100 billion. Assuming about 350 billion in total debt (again somewhere in the ballpark), that means about 23 cents go to Greek entities as debt service. That number is a bit misleading, as much of this has been pledged to the ECB for funding, so although it supports the Greek banks, it also goes to the ECB.

    The ECB holds 55 billion of Greek bonds directly. So 18 cents of every Euro of the bailout goes to the ECB.

    The “market” and “bilateral loans” total about 175 billion from what we could find. This is a bit lower than the 205 billion the IIF is talking about, but seems in the right ballpark. So about 40 cents of every Euro of the bailout is used to service debt held by non Greek banks and financial institutions.

    We didn’t look at the specific maturities, and just used averages. To the extent Greek pension funds for example, hold longer dated maturities, less of the money is really going to them, but for now have assumed that each group holds a similarly balanced portfolio.

    We also haven’t figured out about the 90 billion of derivative exposures Greece has and whether any bailout money is being used to pay on those.

    In the end less than 19 cents of the bailout are going to allow Greece to continue its overspending. About 23 cents goes to Greek institutions, though at this point, all of that is held by the ECB, so it is not fully benefiting Greece.

    18 cents are going to the ECB directly and 40 cents are going to banks and insurance companies outside of Greece. So at least 58 cents of every bailout Euro is going outside of Greece, and depending on how you treat the repo agreements, that number could easily be 70 cents.

    So yes, Greece is getting a bailout, but you can see why Merkozy got so scared at the idea of a referendum. The bulk of the money that Greece is “getting” comes right back to the rest of the EU. Whatever posturing is going on, Greece will get away without meeting any of its stated goals, or at least it will until the EU decides it has written down enough principal and that the ECB can handle the shock.

    This is our first attempt at breaking down where the bailout money really goes. We have made a lot of assumptions and found data that seems sketchy at best, but will work on fixing any mistakes. We do think it is an interesting way to look at it, and confirms who really has the problem with a Greek default – and it’s not Greece.

    http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user3303/imageroot/2011/10/20111108_GREbailoutpie.png

  2. The EU COMMISSION, IMF and ECB are a complete FRAUD and a SHAM and are without morals and “ROTTEN TO THE CORE” —
    Get out of the EU now while you still can and SAVE YOURSELVES now before its is too late and they take all your resources and make SLAVES out of you!

    They are simply using Greece & Cyprus as test cases to see how stupid citizens are and how much they can get away with— Wake up People — Time to FIGHT BACK!!

  3. EU to the ECB is like US to FED. DB bank in German is to Goldman Sachs in the US. They will dispute this because the bankers want innocent people to pay for their derivatives gambling losses while they simultaneously collect the profits from the insurance on said products and had reaped the benefits when their schemes didn’t go sour. The German and French banks gambled on Greek debt but they still wanted Greece to pay. It would be like German banks gambling on a Greek soccer team using derivatives. If the Greek soccer team wins they collect all the winnings if the Greek soccer team loses they pass their losses onto the sovereign debt of Greece. They win either way at the expense of elderly Greeks and veterans.